Discussion on Republican Voter Demographic Trends (Part 3)

Eight percent independent. And those, those are pure independents. So leaners, people lean to one side or the other. We, we treat them as partisans. So In Pure Independence, 5131, Democrat to Republican, 20 points. Basically, this group was a draw in 2024. So, you know, roughly speaking, about 20 points of slippage amongst people in rural or small town, rural America or small towns. That's 36% of the electorate. Republicans carried them with 58%, but Trump won upwards of 65%. So even in a pretty core Republican area, major slippage probably due to diesel prices and probably due to a slightly lesser degree to AI, you know, and AI data centers. Right. Amongst Latinos, you know, we had Republican support amongst Latinos at 35%. That's compared to close to 50% in the last election cycle in 2024. So Republicans have given away about 75% of the gains they made with Latinos from 2016 to 2024. Not all, they're not back to sort of Romney 2012 levels, but they're basically, you know, have given away almost everything that they've gained in the 2016, 2020 and 2024 elections. You know, so those are some of the major groups, young people, I guess, just to kind of close the loop on some of these obvious groups, you know, so people under, under 30 years of age. The Democrats won roughly 70% of that cohort. Wow. Republicans had made major gains, especially with young men in 2024. They got absolutely devastated amongst young voters. And including young men wasn't quite as bad with young men, but, you know, quite as bad means you didn't lose seven out of 10 voters, which is what they did overall. One other small thing, about 10% of the electorate was casting their first vote in a midterm election. So these are to some extent young voters, but also people who've never been engaged in midterms before. And the Democrats carried that group 62 to 34, first time midterm election voters. So all that adds up to, you know, a pretty devastating loss. Darren, are Latinos officially like the most coveted group maybe, aside from suburban women? I mean, they seem like this bellwether group group now that you, you know, it could really put you over the top or really hold you back. I think they're one, you know, I do think, you know, suburban women, rural.