A Midterm Wave: Did Texas Just Turn Blue?

At some, frankly, these are swing districts at best. They will be up in 2028. We'll see if Democrats can hold onto them. And even if this majority is so big, even if it's a really good night for the Republicans in November of 2028, it's going to take a lot to win back the House after that. I mean, it would, it would be extraordinary to have a sea change in two elections back and forth like this. I mean, Democrats might at least have the House, you know, at minimum for two Congresses in a row here. But as you say about Hakeem Jeffries and the dsa, they're gonna have a handful, about seven, eight true DSA members in the House. They have a number of progressives, but those aren't the majority makers. And Hakeem Jeffries can say, look, we can't vote on that. And these guys won't vote on whatever it is, Medicare for all or expanding the Supreme Court or throwing out the Electoral College or whatever it is that they want, simply because the votes won't be there from those moderates. And that helps Hakeem Jeffries. And here's the other dynamic. As I always say, it's about the math. If Hakeem Jeffries has 260 votes and they go to that speaker vote in January, January 3rd, you have to win an outright majority of the entire House. And this is why it is about the math. You need 218 votes out of 435 total population of the house. He can lose about 40 plus seats and still win. Now, he's not going to lose that. He probably, he might not even lose three or four. You're saying it's not going to take four days to elect a Speaker of the House. That much I am saying. That's right. That's right. But you know, when you get to some of these other leadership elections, it is about the math as well. Let's say the Republicans, at the end of the day are at 185. You have this leadership race to be the new minority leader between Steve Scalise and Jim Jordan. Well, you know, if it's 185, you need, you know, mid-90s, okay, 93. Chuck Schumer. There's all this question about whether or not he should. I was going to say he's got some breathing room now that I think was unexpected. Well, again, because those votes, the vote for speaker plays out on the floor. The speaker is the constitutional officer of this branch of government. So the entire House has to, you know, elect him or her minority leader. That's something you do in your conference or caucus. Senate majority leader, Senate minority leader, the same thing. And so let's just say, for the sake of argument, let's say The Democrats get 55 seats. Let's say they win Mississippi and don't get Alaska or vice versa. So Chuck Schumer only needs 28 votes. Now, he's going to get more than 28 votes, I'll tell you that. Yeah. I mean, he's, you know, and again.