Dynamics of Three-Party Elections Explained (Part 2)
politicselectionsMarco Rubio
Transcript
America was just more capable because it was, it was better, it was a whiter country and white voters are more swinging politically. There was not as much difference between the parties too. So. But like, it's just interesting. I just think third party election, three party elections just have weird dynamics to them. And it's never quite as simple as, like, oh, this guy is closer to that party and so he automatically will hurt them more. Another example I like to point to. Yeah, they pick up from the Democrats. In 2010, Marco Rubio runs for Senate, but he was not originally the guy that was supposed to. Do you remember Charlie Crist, who's now a Democrat? He was the governor of Florida. Popular governor. They draft him to run for Senate to win that Florida Senate seat. But then it's 2010, it's the tea Party. Marco Rubio starts as this long shot. He gains ground on him, gains ground. It's clear he's gonna win the nomination. So Chris says, screw this, and he switches and he becomes an Independent and runs for Senate and as an Independent. So you have the guy who was going to be the Republican nominee until an upstart was going against him running as an Independent. And you also had a Democrat in the race. And now you have Rocco Rubio. Rationally, you have to think the Democrats are going to win because presumably he was going to get 48% of the vote. And now the Republicans are splitting it. Here's the final result. Marco Rubio 49%, Charlie Crist 29%, the Democrat 20%. Wow. What explains that? There's just weird dynamics to three party races because Republicans were sick of Charlie Crist, because that was, I believe that was the Tea Party year. And Republicans viewed Charlie Crist at 2010. Yeah. So Republicans viewed Charlie Crist as being part of this, like, out of, out of touch. But Jack, let me explain what I would have expected to happen. So he just tells me that scenario and he doesn't tell me the numbers. And he goes, guess what? Where that would have ended? I would have said probably most likely. Rubio gets 40, Chris gets 15, and the Democrat gets, you know, wins. Yeah, 44. Like, you know what I mean? And wins because they split the vote. That would have made way more sense to me. Yeah, this doesn't make any sense. Yeah, exactly. Like, so it also just destroyed. Also. It also, I mean, it matters who you nominate. Right? Charlie Crist has lost in Florida, I think as a member of each party at this point, including Independent, Republican, Independent and Democrat. It's an incredible trifecta. Hats off to you, Charlie Crist, for that. But at the same point, though, you know, each. Each race is specific.